Treasurys: Rumors of Demise Were Greatly Exaggerated
CNBC.com - March 15, 2010 - by Jeff Cox
All the talk that US Treasurys were likely to get hammered this year have been unfounded, with investor appetite remaining strong for government debt despite a bevy of factors against it.
"The Chinese government has so much money to park that they don't have a lot of other choices," said Harry Rady, CEO of Rady Asset Management in San Diego.
Rady believes there is too much geopolitical and fiscal risk with Treasurys and holds a position in the ProShares Ultra Short 20+ Year Treasury [TBT 47.83 -0.04 (-0.08%) ] ETF that rewards investors for moves lower in the Barclays Capital 20+ Year US Treasury Index.
"There are a hundred different variables that could drive rates higher. We see a very asymmetric risk-to-reward ratio," he said. "A little bit of bad news could go a long way in the Treasury market, whereas good news wouldn't do much because rates are already so low."